The Apollo stakes is a Randwick Group 2 1400 Weight For Age race
first run in 1977. Traditionally a lead up to the Group 1 races of
the Autumn it has been won by some good horses of the past
including Sunline, Lonhro, Grand Armee and Racing To Win. There
were 15 acceptors and Chris Waller will saddle up numbers 1-6. I am
looking to invest outside the Waller stable in this race. Here is
the preview and my reasons why.
G Schofield/ C Waller
5yo gelding 2nd up off a 28 day break. He is
unplaced in his last 7 runs. Whilst he has the benefit of a run on
most of these he hasn't shown enough lately to interest me. He will
be buried back on the fence and that is another negative. I expect
him to start longer than his current quote of $10.
2. FORETELLER J Collett/ C Waller 8yo stayer
resuming off 2 trials. His first up form is a long time ago and I
could not entertain him here. Will start longer than $26.
3. HE'S YOUR MAN B Shinn/ C
Waller Epsom handicap winner resuming off 2 trials. He
is a high class horse now in his 3rd Australian
preparation. He should get a nice trail just ahead of midfield with
cover and it would be no surprise to see him in the finish. I think
there might be others who will be closer to their peaks and I can't
see enough value in the price ($6) to be on.
4. HAWKSPUR J Cassidy/ C
Another Waller runner who has the benefit of a run in the
Expressway stakes. He should improve today but is yet to win
below 1600m. There is a chance Cassidy will try and lead like he
did when he stole the Group 2 Chelmsford in the Spring but that was
3rd up at a mile on a heavy track . I think $34 is
5. JUNOOB T Angland/ C
Waller imported stayer who is yet to win below 1900m and resumes
here after being disqualified from his win in the Group 1
Metropolitan for a positive to a prohibited substance. I expect he
will start longer than $51.
T Berry/ C Waller Imported gelding who is going
well in his 3rd Australian preparation. He has the
benefit of a run where he charged late inside runners to win the
Expressway stakes at Rosehill over 1200. Has drawn wide and
will probably be worse than midfield. That sort of position might
be difficult and second up after a near peak rating first up, I
will risk him.
S Clipperton/ T
5yo gelding building a good record. He has always been one rung
below the best horses. 1400 is his pet distance and second up with
the advantage of a run really helps. He will press forward from the
wide draw and possibly control the race. $10 is over the odds I
feel he is true price is $5. Time to bet.
J McDonald/ J
Godolphin runner of Irish descent like his trainer. First up in his
second Australian preparation here. His first up record looks
imposing. Of course most of the wins were in the Northern
Hemisphere and over longer distances however he has trialled twice
including a nice win in his most recent trial. First up last time
he reeled off impressive sectionals to win the Coongy over 2000m I
think he is right in this race. Looks to get a lovely spot on the
map and has shown he can sprint. I think $6 is a good price.
C Reith/ S Englebrecht 6yo Snitzel gelding who is
second up here after an acceptable run behind Weary first up. He is
not really a Weight For Age horse and hasn't won a race for 18
months. I couldn't have him here.
J Parr/ PP
Newcastle cup winner resuming given only one trial. He won't be
ready for this and hasn't won below 1800. Not today.
12. SILENT ACHIEVER K McEvoy/ R
mare who has excelled over longer distances in the last 12 months.
She didn't win in the Spring but won 4 in a row last Autumn ( 2 in
NZ) She might be an Autumn mare. Her best first up form is in New
Zealand and this is a lot harder but I am expecting her to run
13. LUCIA VALENTINA H Bowman/ K
Another Kiwi mare with a bit more brilliance about her. My question
is whether the Melbourne Cup campaign has flattened her? First up
last time she blew them away over this course and distance on a
rain affected surface. She is a chance to do it again but it's a
big ask resuming after a Melbourne Cup off only one trial. I am
going to risk her.
T Clark/G Waterhouse This mare is a Group 1
winner ( against mares) and has won first up. I don't think she is
up to this sort of race and the barrier 1 draw isn't ideal.
P King/ G Waterhouse Another Gai runner
racing well out of her grade. She has got none.
SUGGESTED BETS (1000 UNIT BETTING BANK):
# 7 NINTH LEGION 9 UNITS
#8 CONTRIBUTER 14