Gai Waterhouse will be hoping to have unearthed another cups
contender in Ecuador. The
4yo gelding by High Chaparral produced what appeared to be a
display of sustained speed in winning a Bm 75 event at Rosehill on
14th September, 2013 by 3.0 lengths. Of course, it is a
big step from Bm 75 winner to 'cups contender', but that's what
dreams are made of and the High Chaparral blood lines have past
form in the shape of Descarado (won the Caulfield Cup in 2010, also
trained by Gai) and So You Think (3rd in the 2010
Let's take a look at the full
card of race results for Rosehill available as part of a
Sectional Pro Form subscription.
The above table contains 200m increment split and sectional time
information, along with benchmark data for the winner of each race.
To enable a straight comparison of the various races (regardless of
class or distance) the default view shows 'All Ave Benchmarks' and
we can see that the best 'overall' (Fin) performance was recorded
in race 5 by Riva De Lago with a figure of -13.0 lengths.
Ecuador (Race 4) Analysis
Looking at the 'Career View' for Ecuador (table below) we can
see that he has returned a career best All Ave Benchmark figure of
-10.2 for the race as a whole (start to finish). It is interesting
to note the upward progression in performance at each start for
this preparation, from -1.9 to -4.5 and the latest peak of -10.2.
Apart from the obvious improvement attributable to increasing
levels of fitness, the race distance has also stretched out from
1100m to 1800m.
Switching from using the All Ave Benchmark to compare multiple
races, we can use Class Benchmarks to compare performance levels
against what would be expected for the 'class' of race (see table
below). Looking at the full race results for race 4 using Sectional
Pro Form ('Cls Bmark Var L' is the default setting for this
particular view), we can see that Ecuador has set the early
race pace of 3.6 lengths faster than class benchmark (for Bm 75
handicap) to the 600m marker and could still manage to come home
2.4 lengths faster than class benchmark for the last 600m (6.0
lengths fast overall). The ability to record similarly fast
benchmarks early and late (also the quickest last 400 and 200m
sectionals) indicates some room for improvement in stepping out
over more ground in future. A note of caution regarding assessing
future prospects based on this race would be the fact we can see
the jockey (T Berry), has ridden a nicely judged race with Ecuador being placed under
very little pressure between the 1000m and 400m distance markers
(200m split ranks of 10th, 12th and 9th fastest).
The last word goes to the trainer herself "……..Congratulations
to all the owners of this gelding. He is just sitting in the wings
waiting to take the racing industry by storm. He is very exciting,
and he will now most likely be aimed at the Sydney Group 1 races in
an attempt to qualify for the Melbourne Spring Classics. Well done
also to Tommy Berry on a super ride and a good day at Rosehill.
Tommy really rates this gelding and at the minute, Ecuador is ticking every
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