High Noon Approaching For Ecuador

Gai Waterhouse will be hoping to have unearthed another cups contender in Ecuador. The 4yo gelding by High Chaparral produced what appeared to be a display of sustained speed in winning a Bm 75 event at Rosehill on 14th September, 2013 by 3.0 lengths. Of course, it is a big step from Bm 75 winner to 'cups contender', but that's what dreams are made of and the High Chaparral blood lines have past form in the shape of Descarado (won the Caulfield Cup in 2010, also trained by Gai) and So You Think (3rd in the 2010 Melbourne Cup).

Let's take a look at the full card of race results for Rosehill available as part of a Sectional Pro Form subscription.Ros _140913

The above table contains 200m increment split and sectional time information, along with benchmark data for the winner of each race. To enable a straight comparison of the various races (regardless of class or distance) the default view shows 'All Ave Benchmarks' and we can see that the best 'overall' (Fin) performance was recorded in race 5 by Riva De Lago with a figure of -13.0 lengths.

Ecuador (Race 4) Analysis

Looking at the 'Career View' for Ecuador (table below) we can see that he has returned a career best All Ave Benchmark figure of -10.2 for the race as a whole (start to finish). It is interesting to note the upward progression in performance at each start for this preparation, from -1.9 to -4.5 and the latest peak of -10.2. Apart from the obvious improvement attributable to increasing levels of fitness, the race distance has also stretched out from 1100m to 1800m.




Switching from using the All Ave Benchmark to compare multiple races, we can use Class Benchmarks to compare performance levels against what would be expected for the 'class' of race (see table below). Looking at the full race results for race 4 using Sectional Pro Form ('Cls Bmark Var L' is the default setting for this particular view), we can see that Ecuador has set the early race pace of 3.6 lengths faster than class benchmark (for Bm 75 handicap) to the 600m marker and could still manage to come home 2.4 lengths faster than class benchmark for the last 600m (6.0 lengths fast overall). The ability to record similarly fast benchmarks early and late (also the quickest last 400 and 200m sectionals) indicates some room for improvement in stepping out over more ground in future. A note of caution regarding assessing future prospects based on this race would be the fact we can see the jockey (T Berry), has ridden a nicely judged race with Ecuador being placed under very little pressure between the 1000m and 400m distance markers (200m split ranks of 10th, 12th and 9th fastest).


Ros _R4_140913


The last word goes to the trainer herself "……..Congratulations to all the owners of this gelding. He is just sitting in the wings waiting to take the racing industry by storm. He is very exciting, and he will now most likely be aimed at the Sydney Group 1 races in an attempt to qualify for the Melbourne Spring Classics. Well done also to Tommy Berry on a super ride and a good day at Rosehill. Tommy really rates this gelding and at the minute, Ecuador is ticking every box……".

The full article containing the above quote can be found on Gai's website: