• Flemington Carnival System Competition Winners


    With more than $1500 worth of access to our sectional data up for grabs, some of Punting Form's best system builders entered our Flemington Carnival contest aiming to have the most profitable system for one or more of the three staking types: Flat, Proportional and Kelly.

    After naming some systems as "Honourable Mentions" on social media throughout the day, it's now time to announce the winning systems.

     

    The Kelly Criterion

    Formulator's system FC MARVELOUS MALES was the most profitable "Kelly" system over the week of the carnival, yielding a 126% profit on turnover or a total of $513.79 profit based on the default bank size. Under Kelly staking rules, it would have given you 4 winners from 18 bets. The system also came in second for Flat staking with a PoT of 58.2% and a total profit of $785 from $50 bets.

    For taking out the "Kelly" category, Formulator has won himself two months of free access to Sectional Pro Form, which is valued at $528.

     

    Flat and Proportional

    The other two staking categories were won by the same system, the imaginatively named FC 1 by ProPunter. With 15 winners from 56 hits, FC 1 delivered a 28.6% profit on turnover for Flat staking, which would have yielded an $800 profit from $50 bets, just edging out Formulator's system by $15.

    For Proportional betting, the profit on turnover was 24.8% and the total profit was $197.10 if betting to win $50 on each runner. This was enough for a narrow $12.58 margin over the 2nd best proportional system (another Formulator creation).

    With wins in both categories, ProPunter has earned four months of free SPF access, valued at $1056.

    Congratulations to both of our winners!

  • Free Ratings for Cox Plate Day


    Punting Form are giving away our ratings for Saturday's meeting at Moonee Valley, including the three million dollar Cox Plate. Our Quick Meeting Guide shows the top four ranked runners in each of five categories: Neural, Class/Weight, Race Time, Sectional Time and an overall Punting Form score that encompasses the other four.

    These ratings have a proven track record over several years and can provide an edge based on information that is not available elsewhere. You can read more about the ratings here. The ratings are updated whenever there are scratchings or changes to track conditions, so be sure to check them as close to race time as possible. Click on the link below to see the ratings for this week.

    Ratings for Moonee Valley - October 24, 2015.

     

  • Flemington Carnival Competition


    The Flemington Carnival is only 8 days away and Punting Form is offering prizes for the members who can create the most profitable systems that cover the following meetings: Victoria Derby Day (October 31st), Melbourne Cup Day (November 3rd), Oaks Day (November 5th) and Stakes Day (November 7th).

    The systems that finish with the most total profit for each of the three staking methods (flat, proportional, Kelly) over the Flemington Carnival will receive 2 months access to Sectional Pro Form (which includes the Pro Form product and Quick Meeting Guides with ratings for every meeting in Australia). That means by sweeping all three categories, you could win a total of 6 months of free access valued at over $1500!

    To be eligible to win:

    - your system must have been created between October 23rd and October 30th

    - it must be restricted to runners at Flemington only (use the track filter)

    - the name of the system should begin with the letters FC

    - you must create no more than three systems for the competition

  • Systems Archive


    We have just completed an archive of private systems that have not been subscribed to this year.

    If you have a system that you want back drop a line to support@puntingform.com.au with your PF username and we will restore them for you.

  • Mobile-friendly Site Update


    Over the last few days, we have been updating the website to make it more mobile-friendly. These changes may cause some display issues which can be rectified by clearing your web browser's cache. Holding the Control key and pressing F5 can usually achieve this, but if not here are links to the instructions for some of the most popular browsers:

    Chrome

    Firefox

    Internet Explorer

    Safari

    If you have any issues, email us at support@puntingform.com.au and we'll help you through it. We hope you enjoy the improved look and functionality of the site on your mobile device.

  • May's Top Systems


    We're taking a look at the top performing systems and the most successful system builders for the month of May, 2015. In order to be considered, a system must have been created before May 1st, 2015.

    Biggest Single Winner - Hey Murri (Toowoomba, Race 7, 23rd May) - $101.10

    Five systems picked Hey Murri, three of them created by Formulator. It helped The - $harpener$ to the highest return on investment of any system (using flat staking) in May. 16 winners from 132 hits for the month would have almost doubled your money. However, April was a tough month for the system and it still has a bit to prove.

    More Bang For Your Buck only had two winners for the month and needed Hey Murri to get it into the positive for May. Even that big winner wasn't quite enough to get it into the black since creation although it has been slightly profitable with proportional betting. The other Formulator system that picked Hey Murri will be discussed below.

    Neither of the two non-Formulator systems that picked Hey Murri has shown a consistent ability to get those kinds of winners. SKEvans' Cash Cow is slightly in the red no matter how you might have staked with it, while symorg's Perfecto would have made you a small profit if you'd been flat betting on it since creation thanks to Hey Murri. Both systems would have been marginally profitable in May even without their big winner, but we need to see more from them.

    More Hits Than Misses

    Three systems had a strike rate of more than 50% from 10 or more runners in May. thebaldman's Amazing Maidens scored on 7 out of 10 short priced runners to deliver a 21% return on investment for the month. It's the 2nd straight profitable month after a poor start to the year and the system is at 6% profit on 80 runners since creation.

    Another thebaldman system, Fav game, hit on 17 of 33 selections in May which would have more than tripled your money if you'd flat staked on it all month. This system has been around for about 18 months and this is the first time it's trended in an upward direction, so it will need a few more months like this to really impress.

    39% win is a system from eibecka, who had another system just below 50% for May as well which is named 79% place. The numbers have changed a bit since these systems were named but in May 39% win won with 7 of 12 runners to take it's strike rate since creation to 34%. 79% place had 7 winners and 12 placings from 15 May runners.

    SYSTEM OF THE MONTH

    Males in Blinkers - selection didn't quite match a couple of its Formulator stablemates this month for total returns, but it was another to pick Hey Murri and has been showing steady profits for more than a year now with runners from all over the price spectrum. For May, it had 19 winners from 136 hits which was enough for a 60% profit for the month. Since creation, it has picked winners with 13.4% of its selections and returned a 15% profit with flat staking, putting it on top of the flat staking table for ROI. It's had even higher profitability using the Kelly criterion.

  • Hot Systems (28/1 to 28/4)


    A look at the Top Public Systems list can, of course, be very informative when you're deciding on a system to follow. Viewing performance since creation can let you know which systems have been the most successful over the long haul, while viewing performance over the last 3 months can alert you to "hot" systems which may be currently outperforming some of the successful older ones. However, the last 3 months performance can be misleading if the system was created less than 3 months ago. Sometimes a system is built on a strong historical record but then fails as a predictive tool.

    Today, we're taking a quick look at the top seven most profitable systems from the last three months (based on proportional staking) which have been available as public systems for the entire period. All of these systems would have produced a profit of at least $400 if you were betting to win $50 on each runner.

    1. q (piratebird)

    This humbly named system was only a few weeks old three months ago, so its "career" numbers are similar to the three month statistics. It's been running at a 19.9% strike rate since January 28th which has resulted in a profit on turnover of 23.05%. It has multiple runners every day and has produced winners as high as $20.

    2. $hort 'n' $weet (Formulator)

    Born in late 2013, this system has been only marginally profitable at about 1.4% PoT but has a solid strike rate of 38%. The last three months have been going at 41.6% win rate and in that time the profit has increased to 10.1%. It has picked 18 winners out of its last 26 hits and is possibly the hottest system of the last fortnight.

    3. Favourites Of The Country (Formulator)

    Dating from mid-December, its had a strike rate of 33.2% and a PoT of 2.31% since creation. Over the last three months, these numbers have improved to 35.4% wins and 10.53% profit. It had five winners out of its seven runners last weekend.

    4. At Threes and Fours (thebaldman)

    Active since October 2014, it's got a 23.5% strike rate and just over 3% profit on turnover but in the last three months, it's been running at better than 24% wins and 14.13% PoT. Between Monday and Thursday last week, it picked four winners out of five (with the only loser running 2nd).

    5. Massive Wins & Places (thebaldman)

    Another hot one from thebaldman, dating from around the same time, it's had a modest 5.7% strike rate and is marginally in the red since creation. Over the last three months, it's upped the win rate to 7.2% which has resulted in a huge leap to 23.64% PoT. It's on a long streak of outs at the moment, but with a high dividend of almost $90 it can afford a few misses between the hits.

    6. Leader Of The Pack (pie2251)

    Three months ago, this system was already a year old and its yielded a solid 16.36% PoT from its 23.5% strike rate since creation. Over the last three months, those numbers have improved to a massive 40.39% PoT and 28.8% wins. While the average dividend is a modest $3.98, it has had winners over $20 mixed in with the shorter priced runners.


    7. James McDonald (Tylendale)

    Almost six months old, this system started slowly but had the highest PoT of any system over February and March. The only reason it hasn't been as profitable as the systems above is its relatively low number of runners. It's had 81 hits since January 28th, 23.5% of them winners. A high average dividend of $6.71 has resulted in better than 53% profit on turnover.

  • Builder Spotlight - Brystar


    On Punting Form's Top Public Systems list, there is a system that has been in or near the top spot for several months when the systems are sorted for proportional staking since creation. MagicalSwoopers is now almost a year old and is approaching $2000 in profits (betting to win $50 on each runner). It's the most successful system for one of our most successful builders, Brystar.

    Brystar has a couple of dozen systems that are currently making a profit and we're going to be taking a look at a few of the best ones.

     

    MagicalSwoopers

    As mentioned above, this system is first overall when it comes to profits on proportional staking since system creation. An excellent strike rate of 31.4% while still coming up with winners that pay double figures (high of $13.90) makes MagicalSwoopers very popular with our users. It has a profit on turnover of 13.4% with proportional staking and is only slightly lower using flat staking at 11.8%.

     

    *♫Debuters♫*

    This system is now about 10 months old and a flat bet on each of its runners would have yielded a 4.1% profit up to this point. With a strike rate of just 12.6%, it relies on big dividends to be profitable and has an average of $8.24. It quite often greatly exceeds that number and it's highest payer was at $118.30. If you use the Kelly criterion to determine your stakes, this is one of the top 5 systems for profitabiiity at 14% of turnover.

     

    $Pure&Simple$

    This is a system that had a terrific start after its creation, but it has levelled off somewhat since then. It remains profitable as a flat staking system with a strike rate of 19.4% and an average dividend of $5.23 (high of $31) but we'd like to see this one get back to its early form after a rough start to 2015. It finds plenty of runners and is still a good choice if you're one who likes to analyse the runners for yourself rather than just blindly take a system's word for it.

     

    MaidenSurprise(reformated)

    With just 11 wins from 546 hits in its 9 months of existence, this one might appear to be a disaster at first glance. But with an average dividend of $56.25 and a high of $101, its managing a 13.3% profit on turnover using flat staking. It's most recent winner would have paid $4,165 on a $50 bet, which makes the 37 straight misses since then easier to take. And the next big hit might be just around the corner.

     

    Brystar has dozens more systems to look through, including many that are race specific, and more are being created all the time. To check out his full range, go to the Systems Dashboard, select the Search tab, then enter Brystar in the System Creator field and click the Search button.

  • Free Ratings for Lightning Stakes Day!


    Free Flemington Ratings

    Our ratings are based on our unique sectional data and have a proven track record over many years, giving an edge that could make all the difference. 

    Our Quick Guide for tomorrow's meeting reveals the top four horses for each race in five different categories (neural price, class rating, sectional time, race time and PF score). Explanations of these five categories can be found here and the ratings will be updated on race day, so remember to check back here in the morning. Best of luck!

  • Builder Spotlight - Formulator


    Over the next few weeks, we're going to be taking a closer look at some of our best system creators and seeing which of their systems are hot and which systems have proven themselves over the long haul. To open the series, we're putting Formulator under the spotlight.

    One of Punting Form's most successful system builders, Formulator has over 40 profitable systems for subscribers to choose from and his name is a familiar fixture of the Top Public Systems list. He has systems that produce dozens of runners every week and he's also known for coming up with race specific systems that serve their purpose in a single day.

    Mega Pot (Full Field Version)

    This one has been producing consistent winners for almost two years now and ranks as the 2nd most profitable system ever using a proportional staking method. If you were betting to win $50 on every horse that this system has suggested since it was created, then you'd be $1,343.74 wealthier today. It's yielded a 7.9% profit on turnover from 2608 runners in its 22 months of existence and has at least a couple of picks for its subscribers every day. 

    TIME FACTORS (2014 Update)

    If you prefer flat staking, then this system is definitely one to follow. A little over 8 months old, it's the 3rd most profitable flat staking plan since creation and would have increased your bank by $941 if you'd put $5 on each of its runners over that time. Like Mega Pot, the strike rate is not high (8.9%), but it often finds winners paying double figures. A fortnight ago, it had an $82 winner in Hobart which was a new high for the system.

    Price For Profit

    For those Kelly stakers out there, this sytem is number 2 since creation on that list. It's about 7 months old and has delivered a 114.8% profit on turnover using the Kelly criterion. The system focuses on trainer Mick Price and has been quiet for the past month, but you can expect the number of runners to start picking up again soon.

    Home Boys (2014 Update)

    When it comes to strike rate, this is Formulator's best system with over 40% of its picks coming up winners. In 8 months since creation it's correctly tipped 132 times from 326 attempts and if you'd been betting to win $50 each tme, you'd be $1,172.34 better off today. With an average dividend of $2.61 and a high of $5, this is one for those punters that like to back the favourite.

     

    There are dozens more Formulator systems that are worth a look and new ones being built all the time. To check out his full range, go to the Systems Dashboard, select the Search tab, then enter Formulator in the System Creator field and click the Search button.

  • System Spotlight 14/1/2015


    We're going to start this year's System Spotlight column by blowing our own trumpet just a little. Backing Up was created just over two years ago by a Punting Form team member and has been profitable from day one whether you use a flat or proportional staking system. 

    Using flat staking (a $50 bet on every system hit), Backing Up would have delivered you a profit of $1507.50 if you'd been following it from the beginning, which represents a 12.1% profit on turnover. Proportional staking would have faired even better with a 17.4% profit, which is an impressive figure to maintain over such a long period.

    Backing Up focuses on consistent horses that are coming off a short break and the system produces an average of 10 runners per month. So far in January, there have been 7 runners for 4 winners. A $50 bet on each of the 7 horses would have put you more than $500 ahead so far in 2015.

     

    10 systems that have started 2015 with a bang.

    Highest return on investment (with a one dollar bet on each runner):

    System Hits Wins RoI Biggest S/R Creator
    American Beauty By Pie2251. 15 4 50.1 41.7 26.7% pie2251
    moneybags 100 9 40.7 49.3 9.0% horseno1
    Not on any saturday 16 6 36.9 23.8 37.5% Andymac
    Interesting Saturday 108 13 33.8 25.1 12.0% Tylendale
    SAS - (South Australian Specials) 43 5 29.5 38.7 11.6% Formulator

    Other strong performers:

    System Hits Wins RoI Biggest S/R Creator
    SteadyEddy 8 5 10.1 5 62.5% Yorkshire_Terrier
    Backing Up 7 4 10.7 9 57.1% puntingform
    Been There Done That 20 9 16.1 6.9 45.0% thebaldman
    Runaways 23 10 23.3 16 43.5% thebaldman
    Track 'N' Dist 40 14 19.75 9.5 35.0% thebaldman

  • System Spotlight 24/12/14


    This week the spotlight is on an 11 month old system from Doc called On The Lighter Side of Things. Since it was created in January, the system has picked 62 winners from 333 runners for a strike rate of 18.6% and has healthy profit margins using all three staking plans. Proportional betting on all runners since creation would have seen a profit on turnover of 20.8%, while that figure goes up to 26.9% with flat staking and 29.8% if using the Kelly Criterion.

    In the most recent week of results, On The Lighter Side of Things had 8 runners for 3 winners and a profit of $19.90 if you'd put a dollar on each runner with the winners paying $3.80, $15.00 and $9.10. Looking at the "User Defined" time period of performance shows a further 9 months of results that are in line with its results since creation, which should give subscribers to this Doc system confidence going into the future.

    Best of the Week (December 15-21)

    Biggest Winner - Phrases (Race 5 at Rosehill on Saturday) paying $91 - picked by 11 Since by thebaldman and Love Those Russians by Pie2251.

     

    Highest return on investment ($1 bet per runner):

    1. *20/1 Big Overs* by (Antz) - 6 winners from 120 runners - $91.60 profit

    2. 11 Since (thebaldman) - 3 winners from 24 runners - $78.80 profit

    3. Love Those Russians by Pie2251. - 1 winner from 19 runners - $72.00 profit

     

    Other notable performers:

    System Hits Wins RoI Biggest S/R System Builder
    Metal Storm (M) By Pie2251. 3 3 6.6 3.7 100.0% pie2251
    Amazing Maidens 'ca 2005' 3 3 2.15 1.9 100.0% thebaldman
    Dark Horse V3 5 4 5.25 3.5 80.0% dafloflo
    Amazing Maidens 5 4 1.45 1.9 80.0% thebaldman
    Super Multi 45 27 18.4 4.6 60.0% Brystar

     

  • Formulator's Xmas Package


    Formulator, one of Punting Form's most prolific and successful system builders, has a special offer this week for the festive season: subscribe to both his Time Factors (2014 Update) and Run For Your Money systems and pay for only one of them.

    Time Factors is a six month old system that has delivered a 13.8% profit on turnover since creation using a proportional staking plan. The average winning dividend is more than $13 and while it hasn't performed at its best recently, the historical results over the last two years show a steady upward trend that should give subscribers confidence.

    Run For Your Money is more than 10 months old and has performed best when using either a flat or Kelly staking plan. The Kelly criterion in particular has been successful with this system, resulting in a profit on turnover of more than 20%.

    For the week of December 26th to January 1st, you can subscribe to both of these systems and $5 will be refunded to your Punting Form balance (leaving a total cost of $5 for the 2 systems). In the unlikely event that one of the systems fails to produce a runner, you'll get a further $5 refund on the package.

    If you wish to take advantage of this offer, simply subscribe to the two systems and then send an email to tim@puntingform.com.au to arrange your refund.

  • System Spotlight 17/12/14


    This week we're taking a closer look at a system from Formulator, Winning Debuts. This system is almost 6 months old and has been constantly profitable for proportional stakers. The system is built around two year old horses looking to open their winning accounts in the Maiden races.

    Using proportional staking, it has delivered a profit on turnover of 10.6%, a win rate of 15.2% and an average winning dividend of $6.27.  Winning Debuts usually has somewhere between 20 and 40 runners each week, ranging from short priced favourites to likely looking longshots.

    In the most recent week (December 8th to 14th),  Winning Debuts picked 4 winners from 26 runners (15% strike rate), including a $23.10 winner. A $1 bet on all of those runners would have resulted in a profit of $10 for the week (38% profit on turnover). 

     

    Best of the Week (December 8-14)

    Biggest winner - Line Breaker (Gold Coast Race 1 on Saturday) paying $61 - picked byItsmyfirsttime and Itsmyfirsttime2 by SKEvans.

     

    Highest return on investment ($1 bet per runner):

    1. The Golden Hoof (Tylendale) - 6 winners from 44 runners - $93.30 profit

    2. $Wallet Booster$ (Brystar) - 3 winners from 42 runners - $70.90 profit

    3. **ENIGMA** (Brystar) - 41 winners from 131 runners - $69.50

     

    Other notable performers:

    System Hits Wins

    Return    ($1 bets)

    Biggest Winner S/R System Builder
    Magnificent Maidens 4 3 $18.80 $18.90 75% thebaldman
    She Wins Again! - (CCC) 9 5 $17.20 $9.30 56% Formulator
    The Caulfield Stables 13 7 $7.60 $5.70 54% Formulator

  • System Spotlight 10/12/14


    Continuing in our new format this week, we're going to show the top performers for the week starting December 1st and also give some attention to a system that may not feature in the weekly charts but has proven to be a profitable system over the long term.

    This week the spotlight falls on Specials, a system by errolscott that is now 15 months old and has delivered a profit on turnover of about 10% with both a flat and proportional staking plan. It's total returns are the 8th highest of all public systems (proportional staking) and it has a winning percentage of 37.2% since creation. No other system with more than 200 hits and 9 months of activity has managed a better strike rate.

    This past week, Specials had 3 runners for two winners and a 2nd placing. That follows 3 winners from 6 runners in the previous week, giving it a very solid fortnight of form. If you look at the system's "User Defined" time period results, things look even more impressive with a strike rate over 40% and a profit on turnover of over 15%. Its performance since creation doesn't quite measure up to that, but the historical results do give reason to believe that it will continue to be successful into the future.

     

    Best of the Week (December 1-7)

    --------------------------------------

    Biggest Winner - Winspot (Sale Race 3) paying $81 - Picked by Value In Sight and MaidenSurprise (reformated)

    --------------------------------------

    Highest Return on Investment ($1 bet per runner)

    1. Value In Sight (Formulator) - 1 winner from 11 runners - $70 profit

    2. MaidenSurprise (reformated) (Brystar) - 1 winner from 18 runners - $63 profit

    3. The Big Smoke (thebaldman) - 2 winners from 14 runners - $56.10 profit

    --------------------------------------

    Other Notable Performers:

    System Hits Wins

    Return

    ($1 bets)

    Biggest Winner S/R System Builder
    LEADER 4 4 $8.10  $4.00 100% millie43
    $hort 'n' $weet 12 10 $15.40  $4.40 83% Formulator
    G.S.E 10 7 $12.70  $4.20 70% thebaldman
    Storming Home to Win 7 3 $36.20  $33.00 43% bet2win


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